We're going to be polling New Jersey end of next week, suggestions for questions are welcome. With the election so close anything we're going to ask needs to be focused specifically on the Governor's race or politics in the state (no Anti-Christ questions!)
You cam head over to their blog and leave your suggestions.
Public Policy Polling (PPP) has released a poll of New Jersey and promised more every month until the election. This is a poll of 1,094 "likely" New Jersey voters. The only good news is that I'll stop complaining Corzine can't poll above 40%:
Corzine 41%
Christie 51%
The bottom line is this seems just like the other June polls: 39-51 (Strategic Vision), 40-50 (Quinnipiac), and 38-51 (Rasmussen). Christie is at 51% and that's a great place for a challenger. Corzine's approval-disapproval is 36-56 in this PPP poll. PPP's Tom Jensen argues that "if he can make those voters to whom Christie is currently a blank slate dislike his challenger even more than they currently dislike him he has a chance." He estimates 36% of the electorate say they are persuadable. The full data are in this PDF.
Fun results:
If only women vote: Corzine leads 48-42. 54% of the sample was women, so you can guess how he's doing with men.
The Unaffiliated Swing Vote: Christie has a crushing 60-26% amongst independents. Christies's favorable-unfavorable numbers are 46-28 in this group.
The Bush Effect: Amongst voters age 18-29, Corzine leads 67-8. Yes, that is 8% for the Republican. This group dislikes Christie (8% favorable, 50% unfavorable) and likes Corzine (67-25). I suppose a cynic might also point out they are less likely to pay property taxes. They are, sadly, only 10% of the poll sample.
Area Codes: Corzine leads only in area codes 201 and 856. Can you say cities?
All these breakdowns should be taken with a grain of salt because the sample sizes are much smaller.
